International Finance Theory and Policy
by Steven M. Suranovic
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Finance 60-1
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Derivation of the DD-CurveThe DD-curve is derived by transferring information described in
the G&S market model onto a new diagram to show the relationship
between the exchange rate and equilibrium GNP. The original G&S
market, depicted in the top part of the adjoining
Initially, let’s assume the exchange rate is at a value in the market given by E1$/*. We need to remember that all of the other variables that affect AD are also at some initial level. Written explicitly we could write AD as AD(E$/£1, I1, G1, T1, TR1, P$1, P£1). The AD function with exchange rate E1$/£ intersects the 45°-line at point G which determines the equilibrium level of GNP given by Y$1. These two values are transferred to the lower diagram at point G determining one point on the DD-curve (Y$1, E$/£1). Next, suppose E$/£ rises from E$/£1 to E$/£2, ceteris paribus. This corresponds to a depreciation of the US dollar with respect to the British pound. The ceteris paribus assumption means that investment, government, taxes, etc. , stay fixed at levels I1, G1, T1, etc. Since a dollar depreciation makes foreign G&S relatively more expensive and domestic goods relatively cheaper, AD shifts up to AD(E$/£2, ...). The equilibrium shifts to point H at a GNP level Y$2. These two values are transferred to the lower diagram at point H determining a second point on the DD-curve (Y$2, E$/£2). The line drawn through points G and H on the lower diagram is called the DD-curve. The DD-curve plots an equilibrium GNP level for every possible exchange rate that may prevail, ceteris paribus. Stated differently, the DD-curve is the combination of exchange rates and GNP levels that maintain equilibrium in the G&S market, ceteris paribus. We can think of is as the set of aggregate DDemand equilibria. A note about equilibria An equilibrium in an economic model typically corresponds to a point towards which the endogenous variable values will converge based on some behavioral assumption about the participants in the model. In this case, equilibrium is not represented by a single point. Instead every point along the DD-curve is an equilibrium value. If the economy were at a point off of the DD-curve, like at I in the lower diagram above, the exchange rate is E$/£2 and the GNP level is at Y$1. This corresponds to point I in the upper diagram above where AD > Y, read off the vertical axis. In the G&S model whenever aggregate demand exceeds aggregate supply, producers respond by increasing supply causing GNP to rise. This continues until AD = Y at point H. For all points to the left of the DD-curve, AD > Y, therefore the behavior of producers would cause a shift to the right from any point like I to a point like H on the DD-curve. Similarly, at a point such as J, to the right of the DD-curve, the exchange rate is E$/£1 and the GNP level is at Y$2. This corresponds to point J in the upper diagram above where aggregate demand is less than supply (AD < Y). In the G&S model whenever supply exceeds demand, producers respond by reducing supply and hence GNP falls. This continues until AD = Y at point G. For all points to the right of the DD-curve, AD < Y, therefore the behavior of producers would cause a shift to the left from any point like J to a point like G on the DD-curve. International Finance Theory and Policy - Chapter 60-1: Last Updated on 3/20/05 |
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